RacetotheWH is already forecasting the . A poll released last week by a Republican-funded firm that has received high marks for accuracy showing Ronchetti with a one-point lead. In 2018 and 2020, those votes after noon ET on Wednesday were slightly in favor of Democrats, but they shifted the vote totals by less than 1% of the vote. Q: What Do Turnout And Advance Vote Look Like? That poll came on the heels of an Albuquerque Journal poll released Sunday that showed Lujan Grisham with an 8-point advantage, or 50 percent to 42 percent, over Ronchetti buoyed by strong support among women, Hispanics and voters with a four-year college degree. * Incumbent March 1, 2023 - 06:54. (Arizona News Connection) Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes said nonpartisan voters are and will become increasingly important for the Grand Canyon State, but he also worries about the state's political climate. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican A bill that would hold adults responsible for keeping guns out of the hands of children passed the Senate largely along party lines Friday. Read more about the methodology. Close to 300 people attended the rally at Albert Johnson Park, next to Las Cruces City Hall. AP will tabulate and declare winners in 55 contested elections in New Mexico, including Governor, three U.S. House races, seven other statewide races and six statewide ballot issues. If you forget it, you'll be able to recover it using your email address. The same is true for Ronchetti in the conservative stronghold of eastern New Mexico. Dem. Lujan Grisham has also done a better job locking down her party, with 81 percent of Democrats backing the incumbent, while 14 percent back Ronchetti and 1 percent support Bedonie. Lujan Grisham leading her Republican opponent Mark Ronchetti narrowly, 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, with 1 percent backing Libertarian nominee Karen Bedonie. Your real name will be displayed next to your photo for comments, blog posts, and more! With Democrats maintaining a large lead in the state House of Representatives and Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected for another four years, the Legislature is in a position to pass reproductive rights legislation, according to a Democratic legislator. In the 2020 . By Robert Nott, The Santa Fe New Mexican When it comes to school lunches, Alejandro Najera laid it out straight for the lawmakers. Michelle Lujan Grisham in her race for reelection this year, according to a recent internal polling memo. Market data provided by Factset. Note as well that the vote shift is not uniform across all counties and all races. He was the Republican nominee for US Senate in 2020, and was defeated by Sen. Ben Ray Lujn, then-incumbent representativeforNew Mexico's 3rd Congressional District. Q: What Are The Pitfalls With Early Returns? (AP) Republican businessman Perry Johnson has announced his long-shot bid for president. In the 2020 general election, nearly 85% of voters cast ballots prior to Election Day. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican At the halfway point of the 60-day legislative session, New Mexico's proposed budget is halfway to the governor's desk. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Ronchetti, a former meteorologist, won a five-way Republican primary easily earlier this month, while Lujan Grisham was unopposed. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Democratic Gov. Grisham is the 32nd governor of New Mexico. Get up-to-the-minute news sent straight to your device. In the southwestern part of the state, including Las Cruces, Lujan Grisham led 48 percent to 38 percent for Ronchetti. For comparison, Survey USA has a grade of A for accuracy. KRQE News 13's Chris McKee and Curtis Segarra hosted livestreaming election results and analysis on KRQE.com between 7:30 and 11 p.m. Tuesday. Voters can cast a ballot in person on Election Day, though that is a minority of voters overall. Of those polled, 52 percent of women say they will vote for Lujan Grisham, while 36 percent say they will vote for Ronchetti and 6 percent for Bedonie. Since becoming a state in 1912, it has sided with the loser of presidential elections only three times: Gerald Ford in . She will be term-limited by the New Mexico Constitution in 2026 and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term. Receive a list of headlines from the latest edition of The New Mexican in your inbox every morning. Updated Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:16 a.m. Eastern. We know that the next New Mexico treasurer will be named Montoya. ET. In doing so, we will make clear that the AP has not declared a winner and explain why. In an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, 50% say they or someone in their household has lost hours or a job due to the pandemic. Ronchetti leads among white voters, with 47 percent of support compared to 43 percent for Lujan Grisham and 5 percent for Bedonie. This article is about the U.S. state of Utah. Choose wisely! OXON HILL, Md. 2023-24 Governor Interactive Map 2023-24 Pundit Forecasts 2022 Governor Polls 2022 Governor Election Results. Michelle Lujan Grisham, Eddie Moore/AP; Insider, state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. This site built with Project Largo from INN and proudly powered by WordPress. Bedonie is a former Republican congressional candidate. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. New Mexico's best political reporting. A: New Mexico law provides for mandatory recounts if the gap between the candidates is less than 0.25% for federal, statewide, judicial races and ballot questions. Republicans have held the office only three times in the states 110-year history. The poll found that Lujan Grisham, a Democrat, leads Republican challenger Mark Ronchetti 48 percent to 40 percent among likely voters, with Libertarian candidate Karen Bedonie getting the support of 7 percent. Danehy. Full election results. The district stretches from the U.S. border with Mexico across desert oilfields and portions of Albuquerque. 45 votes. Joe Biden won the state by 11 percentage points in 2020, but Republicans at the same time unseated a one-term Democratic congresswoman in a district along the U.S. border with Mexico. That speed comes, in part, because elections officials can start validating absentee ballots starting five days prior to Election Day. Voters also are considering a constitutional amendment that could increase funding for early childhood and K-12 education by hundreds of millions of dollars if it is approved statewide referendum. If youre undecided at this point, I think youre less likely to be voting for the incumbent, Sanderoff said. Below is a recap of some of the results they . New Mexico's Democratic governor, Michelle Lujan Grisham (center), smiles as supporters cheer during a campaign rally in Albuquerque, N.M., on June 3, 2021. The last time the president's party won New Mexico's governor's race was in 1986. The governor announced her renewal of the public health emergency order on Friday would be the final one, and it would expire on March 31. Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. State of Utah 6. Ronchetti, meanwhile, leads among Trump voters 88 percent to 8 percent for Bedonie and 1 percent for Lujan Grisham. Ronchetti has a slight lead among other parties and independents, with 39 percent backing the challenger, to 36 percent for Lujan Grisham and 14 percent for Bedonie. Governor Primary. ET and close at 9 p.m. A Hubbard Broadcasting Company, gives the Trafalgar group a grade of A-. Democratic strongholds are in and around Albuquerque and Santa Fe, while much of the rest of the state favors Republicans. Lujan Grisham also continues leading among Hispanic or Latino voters, 55 percent of whom support her, while 31 percent support Ronchetti and 10 percent support Bedonie. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Incumbents typically have an advantage in elections, but not always. By Margaret O'Hara, The Santa Fe New Mexican Students from Jos Eduardo Cervantes' third-grade class at Bernalillo Elementary School are in agreement: It's good to be bilingual. We just dont know the first name. Some counties may have no shift toward one candidate or the other, while other counties can see shifts up to 10% of the vote. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Senate. In most races, this is not enough of a shift to affect the outcome of a race, but in especially close races, this may cause AP to delay calling a winner in a particular race. A bill to expand the scope of the New Mexico Human Rights Act to include protections for the LGBTQ community passed the House by 47-to-20. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. Polls closed in the state at 7 p.m. local time, or 9 p.m. EST. A poll released Monday by an Albuquerque TV station showed incumbent Gov. A new Yahoo/YouGov poll revealed that the governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis remains behind former President Donald Trump in a race for the 2024 Republican Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. All rights reserved. A Maryland man has sued a local bar for allegedly banning him from their establishment because he's an "old, white man" Filed on Feb. 18th, the lawsuit says Neal Glessner, 52, used to spend $500 a week at Dan's Restaurant and Taphouse until he was abruptly banned one day allegedly because of his age and race. Candidate . ET. More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to . This was one of 36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. A poll released on Monday showed a closer race than two other polls released earlier in the week. Send us an email. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Michelle Lujan Grisham. This is the name that will be used to identify you within the system. The governor has accused her Republican challenger of pursuing an extremist agenda that includes banning abortion in New Mexico, which Ronchetti has denied. The New Mexico GOP is looking to unseat Democratic Gov. Republicans have poured money into the governors race in the final months of 2022 campaigning, amid dueling attack ads from independent political committees.
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