by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. More than a . Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. Which ones are more politically competitive? Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. We identify swing states as. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Special elections, if any, are excluded. It feels like the new Florida. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? So how does all that look visually? Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Blue States No. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. You have entered an incorrect email address! Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. Here's the count: 2020: Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. There was an error processing your request. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. These are general election results for the years listed. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Explained! States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. He held his own in . Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Good evening from Philadelphia! We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. But What about Investing in Bonds? I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Dec. 10, 2020. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. I think it's the state to watch. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. That solved the problem. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? Electoral votes invalidated. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Not one! These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Is Missouri a red state? After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). [41][note 1][42]. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. All Rights Reserved. Error! During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. Tap or hover to see names. Press Enter to view state-level map. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. Next is Alabama at No. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. Vice versa for Montana. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. Same caution about borders applies. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? The key swing region is the. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. Republican VOA explains. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. Red states vs. blue states. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. It is not a blue state or a red state. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. All Rights Reserved. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove.
